Pushing the Panic Button: Gameweek 15
Powered by Tableau The above visualisation is going to form the centrepiece for a new regular post (probably bi-weekly) which is kind of the opposite of the fanning the flames piece. Rather than focus on players who did well this week, we're going to look at players who didn't, and particularly those who haven't for a number of weeks and identify whether, yes you guessed it, the panic button should be pushed. Before we get into specific players, a quick review of what the table above shows: Goals xG - This is the expected goals a player should have scored in a given week based on the number of shots he took (inside/outside the box), his historic skill level regarding hitting the target and the league average rate of converting shots on target (SoT) to goals. This metric gives an overview of the chances a player is receiving, along with the quality of them and the way he is converting them. Pts - simply the points scored by the player over the last five g...
Comments
Nevertheless, I still love reading your statistic findings.
1) Using the numbers to supplement your knowledge.
The numbers don't lie (well, unless you want them too) and will sometimes produce strange results (such as Drenthe in seventh this Gameweek) that need investigating. I'm not saying follow the numbers blindly, but use them to validate or to disprove your theories.
2) Statistics can also form the basis of your decision. This is the way I believe Chris uses. This way, you build your team around likely scorers and use your gut feeling/own judgement/personal oppinion seldom.
I am sizing up a swapout of Sturridge for either Demba Ba or Bobby Zamora this week. QPR's schedule is terrific but NWC's isn't bad either (esp at home). One observation on the captain ratings here - Ba's rating in your chart is tipping me toward Ba, but Zamora's rating here has been skewed by his transfer, I think. If you take his % and multiply it times QPR's expected goals v. Wolves (as opposed to Ful v. MC as it appears to be in the chart), Zamora's rating is 0.72, if I'm not mistaken. That puts him near the top. Obviously, the data is not as valid as he has not been with QPR all season (thereby skewing the %), but it's probably got enough heft to make me think Ba is not quite a no-brainer.