Gameweek 11 Preview
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Pushing the Panic Button: Gameweek 15
Powered by Tableau The above visualisation is going to form the centrepiece for a new regular post (probably bi-weekly) which is kind of the opposite of the fanning the flames piece. Rather than focus on players who did well this week, we're going to look at players who didn't, and particularly those who haven't for a number of weeks and identify whether, yes you guessed it, the panic button should be pushed. Before we get into specific players, a quick review of what the table above shows: Goals xG - This is the expected goals a player should have scored in a given week based on the number of shots he took (inside/outside the box), his historic skill level regarding hitting the target and the league average rate of converting shots on target (SoT) to goals. This metric gives an overview of the chances a player is receiving, along with the quality of them and the way he is converting them. Pts - simply the points scored by the player over the last five g...
Comments
Januzaj has been added but you'll need to lower the risk slider to see him as he was benched for so long to open the year.
As for Swansea, while there's value to be found there and they look like a reasonable play this week, I don't think this a borderline top-5 unit as some suggest. They've held opponents to less SiB than they average just three times in ten weeks and while they did register a couple of clean sheets recently, giving up 12 SiB to teams like West Ham will likely ensure such continued success is limited. Indeed, only CAR and FUL have surrendered more SiB at home this season.
Ozil has been better at home than away, but it's closer than his fantasy points suggest and I would have no worries playing him in every game. United have been barely above league average in terms of shot suppression to date (+/- of -9%) and there's really no reason to overly discount players heading to Old Trafford these days, at least until we see signs that United have become a formidable defense again. That's not to say I would personally captain him or sign him for the week but I'd stick by the model here.