As the season ticks on, we're starting to get a bit of data to work with, albeit sometimes in small samples. This season I am not working with a relatively complex player model but am really interested in trying to "play the fixtures" as much as I can. A couple of sources of frustration, therefore, have been as below: 1. Sites which provide the difficulty of fixtures often seem a bit simplistic. For example, the Premier League site shows Wolves as an average "3-rated" opponent, both at home and away yet the reality is more complicated. While at home they have been very solid defensively, with an Expected Goals Conceded (xGC) of just 4.71 in five games, which ranks third best, yet on their travels they have surrendered 7.94 xGC, which is the third worst . Even more confusing is that most sites ( though not all ) don't distinguish between attacking and defensive fixtures, so facing Leeds at home is presented as an easy "2-rated" fixture when in reali
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Love to see Giroud being backed by your formula as I would love him in my team for the next 3 as a differential. I have a dilemma this week with my transfer Lukaku to Giroud or McAnuff to Maloney. The one who comes in will get the start. I know Lukaku is backed by your formula this week too, but I just cant play him with me having a double STO defense this week.
Giroud or Maloney?
Thanks for any help.