As the season ticks on, we're starting to get a bit of data to work with, albeit sometimes in small samples. This season I am not working with a relatively complex player model but am really interested in trying to "play the fixtures" as much as I can. A couple of sources of frustration, therefore, have been as below: 1. Sites which provide the difficulty of fixtures often seem a bit simplistic. For example, the Premier League site shows Wolves as an average "3-rated" opponent, both at home and away yet the reality is more complicated. While at home they have been very solid defensively, with an Expected Goals Conceded (xGC) of just 4.71 in five games, which ranks third best, yet on their travels they have surrendered 7.94 xGC, which is the third worst . Even more confusing is that most sites ( though not all ) don't distinguish between attacking and defensive fixtures, so facing Leeds at home is presented as an easy "2-rated" fixture when in reali
Comments
DGWs always bring opportunity to make moves but I'm finding it very difficult to decide on a path to take so please give some advice on my options please and which path you think has the most upside. I have 1FT and my current team is:
Begovic
Azpilicueta, Enrique, Davies,
Bale, Mata, Walcott, Michu, Fellaini
RVP, Sturridge
Federici, Lambert, Harte, Demel
1) Bale -> Gerrard and then the reverse move next week. ( problems with this are I'll have 5 DGW players but will not be able to field 11 in GW27 without a hit
2)Begovic -> Reina ( I'll be able to field 11 in GW27 but will prob have to ride Reina for a long time
3) RVP-> Suarez ( Will suffer the same problem as option 1)
4) Save my FT this week and then over the next 2 Gws do: RVP, Lambert, Michu --> Rooney, Aguero, Sissoko
I know this is a crazy long post so sorry about that. Thanks for any input and keep up the great work.
In fact, we have the same four so here's hoping your double Gameweek bet pays off.