P90 Points scored per 90 minutes at home/away based on this week's opponents QG% Percentage of games played where the player scored 6 or more points xPct The percentage of his team's goals a player has accounted for, multiplied by the expected goals for this week Rating Based on the player's rankings in the other three categories.
P90 Points scored per 90 minutes at home/away based on this week's opponents QG% Percentage of games played where the player scored 6 or more points xPct The percentage of his team's goals a player has accounted for, multiplied by the expected goals for this week Rating Based on the player's rankings in the other three categories.
Hi Chris, extremely useful stats as always. Just to let you know, your Clean Sheet data is missing Bolton @ Aston Villa. I'm trying to decide between Mignolet and Bogdan so could certainly do with it! :)
Thanks Alex. No idea how that happened. Perhaps I sub conciously wanted to avoid the prediction that Bolton will lose again this week!
It's somewhat surprising to see that Villa have failed to score at home more often than Blackburn, but Sunderland are a much better defensive unit than Bolton right now (who, to be fair, looked better against QPR last week). Bogdan is a good shot stopper so he's always liable for a few save points but I'd go Mignolet this week.
How would you take into account when teams are missing their most influential defender (e.g. City without Kompany this Gameweek)?
Would you look at the base statistics you have provided and then make an educated guess of what the impact will be?
In the specific instance mentioned I feel that City don´t have a great chance to keep a clean sheet without Kompany, and it goes further down without Lescott.
As the season ticks on, we're starting to get a bit of data to work with, albeit sometimes in small samples. This season I am not working with a relatively complex player model but am really interested in trying to "play the fixtures" as much as I can. A couple of sources of frustration, therefore, have been as below: 1. Sites which provide the difficulty of fixtures often seem a bit simplistic. For example, the Premier League site shows Wolves as an average "3-rated" opponent, both at home and away yet the reality is more complicated. While at home they have been very solid defensively, with an Expected Goals Conceded (xGC) of just 4.71 in five games, which ranks third best, yet on their travels they have surrendered 7.94 xGC, which is the third worst . Even more confusing is that most sites ( though not all ) don't distinguish between attacking and defensive fixtures, so facing Leeds at home is presented as an easy "2-rated" fixture when in reali
We talked about this earlier in the season, but with a couple more games in the bag, I've updated the viz which attempts to help you choose your defenders. The "All Players" tab should in theory help you do this coming with a blank slate, but the r aison d'etre for the viz is to help you choose between players in the same side, once you've decided that, for example, you want a City defender. The viz can be found linked from the main menu , and here and should be opened separately to best read this piece. A few notes as of GW5 below. Arsenal I'm not sure how much value there is with this defense right now, but if you are planning to play the fixtures and take a chance with one of Emery's men, this would suggest it should be Mustafi rather than the 10% owner Bellerin who you should target. Bournemouth Cook is the man here for now, though if a clear winner emerges from the developing Daniels vs Rico battle then one of those players could topple him b
Happy holidays everyone; it's been a while. For those not on Twitter, I was away in Costa Rica over the break without much - if any - internet access hence the lack of posts around these electronic pages. Well, actually, that's only the main reason, not the only one. In truth I've become a bit disillusioned with the fantasy game the past couple of months, partly due to my other commitments which make copying data at 2am somewhat less appealing, partly due to a lack of excitement in this year's game and finally due to the constant frustration I have with today's internet culture. This blog is a labour of love and aside from the small amount of money I made from the pre-season guide many of you graciously purchased, I don't get much out of this beyond the enjoyment of interacting with readers and hopefully helping a few of you to gain a couple of extra fantasy points every now and then. While some of that enjoyment remains, I feel it has waned over time and th
Comments
Thanks,
Alex
It's somewhat surprising to see that Villa have failed to score at home more often than Blackburn, but Sunderland are a much better defensive unit than Bolton right now (who, to be fair, looked better against QPR last week). Bogdan is a good shot stopper so he's always liable for a few save points but I'd go Mignolet this week.
Would you look at the base statistics you have provided and then make an educated guess of what the impact will be?
In the specific instance mentioned I feel that City don´t have a great chance to keep a clean sheet without Kompany, and it goes further down without Lescott.
The awful news about Muamba made the decision for me anyway; hope he pulls through. Makes being upset about having Siggy first sub seem pretty silly.