Ten Top Tens
Shots on target per 90 minutes (minimum 3
starts)
1.
Rooney 3.0
2.
Van der Vaart 2.8
3.
Aguero 2.4
4.
Dzeko 2.4
5.
Adebayor 2.3
6.
Van Persie 2.2
7.
Defoe 2.1
8.
Anelka 1.9
9.
Suarez 1.5
10. Di
Santo 1.5
We've seen that correlation between shots on target and goals is (unsurprisingly) strong and the majority of the above players have
benefited from that fact. Van der Vaart and Di Santo stand out for me and
deserve a couple of words. Owned by just 3% of managers, Van der Vaart is
somewhat of a forgotten fantasy force but the above indicates his lack of goals
is not through a lack of trying. In his career, Van der Vaart is averaging a
goal every 4 shots on target so if he carries on his current pace (9 shots on
target in just 287 minutes) he should see his points tally start to rise quickly
as his shots begin to hit the back of the net at their historic rate. As for Di
Santo, he is obviously the cheapest option on this list but is still held by
just 5% of managers. Shots on target aren't everything (Graham is 11th among
forwards) but they are fairly predictive of future success, providing you feel
Di Santo will continue to get into these good positions and continue to pull
the trigger. He is making a strong push to be rated the best sub-6.5m forward.
Pass percentage in opponents half (minimum
100 passes)
1.
Anelka 73%
2.
Mata 68%
3.
Rosicky 68%
4.
Downing 67%
5.
Arteta 66%
6.
Taarabt 66%
7.
Osman 66%
8.
Nasri 65%
9.
Suarez 65%
10. Dembele
64%
I'm not sure if this means too much, but it certainly
can't hurt to play in advanced positions for the majority of the game. Osman's
name stands out and it highlights the good start he's made to the season,
however, he is priced out of the market at 6.9m (who set that
price!). Downing's stats across the board are fairly impressive and given his
safety on that left side with Gerrard set to return, he makes a pretty good
case for being the best Liverpool midfielder to own in the short term, until
things shake out. This ranking underlines the value of three players I am very
high on - Mata, Arteta and Taarabt - as each could develop into the focal point
of their team, despite costing less than many of their peers.
Key passes by budget midfielders (6.5m or
less)
1.
Murphy 21
2.
Taraabt 15
3.
Cabaye 14
4.
M Petrov 13
5.
Faurlin 13
6.
J Morrison 12
7.
Watson 12
8.
Larsson 11
9.
Sessegnon 10
10. Ramsey
10
Danny Murphy might be the very definition of an unsexy
fantasy player. He rarely has big games, he doesn't do back flips, he didn't
cost 30m but he does produce every year. He's already shown his worth across
the board adding a goal, two assists and four bonus points while his underlying
data (21 key passes and three shots on target) suggest more success to come. At
6.0m his price is too steep to bench consistently but he'd make a very nice three man
rotation with a couple of the other names on this list. Watson bears mentioning
as he penalty duties give his a good goal threat to compliment this assist
ranking, while Faurlin deserves some attention due to his low price tag
(5.0m).
P$ (points per million spent) (minimum 270 minutes played)
- Best 1.500
- S Taylor 1.232
- Vorm 1.220
- Aguero 1.183
- R Taylor 1.163
- Pilkington 1.155
- Boyce 1.152
- Begovic 1.133
- Di Santo 1.114
- N Taylor 1.110
It's probably a touch early to start looking at P$ numbers just yet but I just wanted to highlight just how good Aguero has been. To deliver such value with his price tag is without precedent and if he carries this up for much longer, he needs to be owned by everyone (even more so than Rooney). Tevez's tantrum will help Aguero's ability to stay on the field and it's hard to look past him at the moment.
Defender touches in opponents half
1.
Bosingwa 182
2. A Cole 161
3.
Rangel 159
4.
Assou Ekotto 126
5.
Sagna 124
6.
Jose Enrique 124
7.
Ward 115
8.
P Robinson 114
9.
Baines 109
10. Shorey
105
The top two aren't two surprising here, though
Bosingwa's ranking does underline just how good value he could be this year.
With Swansea emerging as a decent defensive option (at home anyway), Rangel's
forward play could make him a very interesting 4.5m option, though he doesn't
have anything to show for it yet. Baines owners might be somewhat concerned
given that he was second in this category (to Sagna) last season, though he is
on pace to come close to his totals from prior year.
Defensive
units with reliable (played every minute when available) 5.0m or less
options available
1.
Swansea - 3 clean sheets - Rangel,
Williams
2.
QPR - 3 clean sheets - A Ferdinand
3.
Newcastle - 3 clean sheets - D Simpson, S
Taylor, F Coloccini
4.
Wolves - 2 clean sheets - Ward, Berra,
Johnson
5.
Wigan - 2 clean sheets - Figueroa,
Caldwell
6.
West Brom - 2 clean sheets - Shorey,
Olsson
7.
Sunderland - 2 clean sheets - Brown
8.
Aston Villa - 2 clean sheets -
Warnock
9.
Bolton - 1 clean sheet -
Knight, Robinson
10. Norwich -
0 clean sheets - Tierney
I'm not suggesting that
I like all of the above players, just that there is real depth in the budget
defender range this year. Ideally, you would settle on your premium forwards
and midfielders for the long term, add a couple of reliable mid-rangers like
Murphy or Taarabt and then grab a bunch of the above guys, rotating them weekly
and replacing them in 5-8 week blocks. That of course is easier said than done,
but the point is clearly that quality is much cheaper at the back than in
midfield this year.
Corners taken
1.
Taraabt 34
2.
Cabaye 27
3.
M Petrov 25
4.
Watson 24
5.
Larsson 22
6.
Adam 22
7.
Nasri 20
8.
Duff 19
9.
A Young 17
10. Fox
17
It's hard to say how much impact taking corners has on
a players' value, but it obviously can't hurt it. Of the 19 players to take
over 80 corners last year, all but Nasri and Watson added 4 assists for the
year with 12 players notching 6 or more. I liked Fox after seeing him in the
year but his place in the first team doesn't seem assured and the above doesn't
suddenly excuse that fact. For a player like Young or Nasri though, you might
conclude that this gives the edge over teammates Nani and Silva (I disagree in
those particular cases but the thought process is logical). Taraabt's lack of
fantasy points continues to amaze, but is he keeps generating these kind of
stats, the points will surely sure start flowing soon.
Saves
1.
de Gea 36
2.
Friedel 26
3.
Begovic 25
4.
Vorm 24
5.
Hennessey 22
6.
Al-Habsi 21
7.
Jaaskelainen 19
8.
Schwarzer 18
9.
Given 18
10. Reina
18
I'm highlighting this list for two reasons. Firstly,
and most predictably, I want to point out that saves are the great equaliser
for goalkeepers and the reason the big names rarely dominate their cheaper
colleagues in the same way a Rooney or Aguero may crush a Zamora. 8of the
top 10 keepers in fantasy points so far could have been had for 5.0m or less to
open the year with, including 3rd ranked Vorm who came in at just 4.0m. A
similar story is true for the above list with only de Gea and Reina ranking as
high priced options from 'elite' teams.
The second point to make is
somewhat contradictory of the first. I say saves are the great
equaliser, which is generally true, but occasionally you get a player from an
elite team who also generates big save totals. So far, that is the case with de
Gea. The United defense has suffered a number of injuries and thus being pretty
disjointed, leading to just 2 clean sheets and plenty of chances for the
opposition. This has been good for de Gea's save totlas but bad for his clean
sheet points. The key is whether United can stiffen sufficiently to keep clean
sheets but allow de Gea to keep his save totals high. If that happens, he might
just about justify that lofty price tag, though I'd still only be tempted if I
had cash to burn, which is looking unlikely in these early stages of the
season. Worth monitoring though.
EA
Sports PPI per 90 minutes
1.
Rooney 47
2.
Aguero 38
3.
Welbeck 34
4.
Dzeko 34
5.
Adebayor 33
6.
Milner 32
7.
A Young 31
8.
Yakubu 26
9.
Ba 26
10. Silva
25
Looking at the PPI points on a per 90 minute basis can
be misleading, as finishing 4th on your team every week will generate a lot of
PPI but precisely zero bonus points. However, racking up the PPI will generally lead
to bonus points success and should be widely indicative of a player doing a lot
of the things that lead to fantasy success. Aside from obvious candidates, a
couple of names stand out. Welbeck's start to the season (though a small
sample) cannot be discounted and with two mores goals tonight against Basel, he will surely jump
back ahead of Berbatov in the pecking order and be odds on favourite to absorb
Rooney's minutes for the next couple of weeks. His return to fitness would make
me nervous about picking up Hernandez to replace Rooney as there could well be
a time share situation when Rooney returns if Welbeck proves himself to be
undroppable. Adebayor's presence on a number of these lists demonstrates how
quickly his stock is rising and he should now be considered in the second tier
of forwards, behind only Rooney and Aguero.
Defender
shots on target
1.
Wilson 2
2.
Naughton 2
3.
Koscielny 2
4.
Jagielka 2
5.
Ivanovic 2
6.
A Cole 2
7.
G Cahill 2
8.
Baines 2
9.
Lots of players 1
Comments
So... I've got Rooney, Aguero and Adebayor up front. Physioroom says rooney is out till the derby on 23 October. Even if he comes back for that, it's not particularly a game I'd prefer to have him for.
So the difficulty is that he's at 12.5m right now and I'll get 12.2 if I sell him. I've got 0.1 in the bank so I'll either need his price to drop 0.2 while he's out or his replacement's (probably RVP) price to rise by 0.2 so that I can get him back in.
How do the price rises and falls work? Do you expect his price to drop while he's out injured?
I know they have liv/MCI coming up, but i can't can't ignore MUTD playing NOR at home.
Should i get berba, welbeck or Hernandez???
The big question this Gameweek for me is: Will you transfer Rooney out? I'm very hesitant myself, but can see the value of replacing him with RvP or Aguero for the short term.
Murphy's inclusion is interesting and Bosingwa's numbers give me more confidence in holding on to him instead of replacing him for a City defender.
Anyone venture an opinion on Ramires vs Mata?
Ramires is vastly cheaper and has played 90 mins all games so far while Mata have played anything from 28 to 75 mins and has poorer returns so far.
I never hear Ramires name mentioned and I know your big on Mata Chris.
I'm hoping to fee up some cash in my midfield to reinvest in the forward line. Already have Nani and Silva but need some Chelsea coverage this weekend (apart from Boswinga).
Is Mata worth the extra if say, it means I'm ten having to stick with Best up front instead of having Ade team up with Aguero and Suarez?
Newcastle do have a good fixture this weekend but worried about Best's holding the position in the future.
@Mell fantasyonthego: I'm thinking exactly the same. I'm very tempted to put RvP in for Rooney. It feels right but given Rooney's form it sound silly transferring him out.
I guess the thinking on Rooney is that RVP and Aguero has tasty fixtures over the next 3 weeks while Rooney will miss Norwich and then has two very tough fixtures (LIV, MNC).
So most people will be aiming for a Rooney buy back for the Everton game in GW10, after which there's a run of VERY favourable fixtures for MNU.
I think a lot of people including myself are betting on this strategy. If Rooney doesn't loose value, we'll be paying a 0.3mil cost for his return but I imagine his price will drop with the sales so it may not cost anything.
Except of course if he goes on the goal rampage against LIV or MNC.
Also, personally, I don't play the market so I don't care if there's a monetary cost to the strategy. I just want the right players for the right games.
If you're doing well, value will always be building in your team anyway to cover such strategies.
"Except of course if he goes on the goal rampage against LIV or MNC."
I have the feeling Rooney is getting better and nearing the form where fixtures don't matter as much as with most other players.
However, RvP has been a Fantasy goldmine whenever he is fit, so that is another consideration. I also play the market perhaps too much. Thanks for the tips.
That's what great about fpl. After cheering each goal til now, I'll be hoping Rooney fires blanks until GW10.
Which is easier for me as I hate MNU.
So, good luck in the Gameweek, apart from Rooney. :)
I cannot believe how dominant Taarabt has been for QPR's stats despite having no fantasy stats to show for it whatsoever. He is absolutely the focal point of that team. If they have any success at all going forward you would expect, based on these stats, for Taarabt to be a beneficiary of it. (But maybe they won't have all that much success.)
Seems like he is the most important reasonably-priced midfielder to watch.