Fantasy Advice

-
I am always on the look out for new ways to predict fantasy results, especially those which take a quantitative look at evaluating data rather than just the usual 'hunches'. One such site I stumbled across recently was Fantasy Football Advice. They use predictive data to predict a player's score for the week and then if you log in using your pl.com team, the site can suggest potential transfers to maximise returns for the week.

While you won't always agree with the suggestions (this week the site recommends selling Van der Vaart, someone I am very high on) it gives a useful second opinion and is a great confidence boost if it suggests the same transfer you already had in mind. This is exactly what happened a couple of weeks ago when I started to get cold feet about dumping Hutton for Coleman. Fantasy Advice recommended the same course of action, I made the transfer and Coleman has gone on to score 12 points over the past two weeks.

My philosophy for fantasy sports is that you rarely come across a situation where too much information or too many opinions is a bad thing. Fantasy Advice can be useful in both these instances and deserves a bookmark next to other fantasy sites such as Fantasy Football Scout, and of course, this humble blogger!

Comments

Unknown said…
Nice find Chris. I will add this to my list of fantasy help websites. I currently use your blog and fantasy football scout for extra help.
December 22, 2010 at 9:12 PM
Steve said…
I started using this from the end of last season, and whilst you should never take an opinion as gospel, it's always something to take into consideration.

It sometimes throws some transfer suggestions out which I'd never go near, but on the same token also suggests I wouldn't have thought of - match it up to my spreadsheet and the half a dozen other views I've taken on board and it's certainly a help overall.

Just don't take everything it says as a must do transfer. Be sure to think for yourself too.
December 23, 2010 at 7:17 AM
Gummi said…
Nice Chris! I´ll check it out when I get home from work.

I also like to check out http://www.fantasyleague.tel/ . It´s some guy who seems to be doing very well and has good general comments for the picks of the week.

Thanks again for a great blog.
December 23, 2010 at 8:39 AM
Chris said…
Thanks Auburn

Clarky - totally agree

Gummi - thanks for the suggestion
December 23, 2010 at 2:58 PM
Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Expected goals plus-minus

-
Image
As the season ticks on, we're starting to get a bit of data to work with, albeit sometimes in small samples. This season I am not working with a relatively complex player model but am really interested in trying to "play the fixtures" as much as I can. A couple of sources of frustration, therefore, have been as below: 1. Sites which provide the difficulty of fixtures often seem a bit simplistic. For example, the Premier League site shows Wolves as an average "3-rated" opponent, both at home and away yet the reality is more complicated. While at home they have been very solid defensively, with an Expected Goals Conceded (xGC) of just 4.71 in five games, which ranks third best, yet on their travels they have surrendered 7.94 xGC, which is the third worst . Even more confusing is that most sites ( though not all ) don't distinguish between attacking and defensive fixtures, so facing Leeds at home is presented as an easy "2-rated" fixture when in reali
Read more

Selecting defenders within the same team

-
We talked about this earlier in the season, but with a couple more games in the bag, I've updated the viz which attempts to help you choose your defenders. The "All Players" tab should in theory help you do this coming with a blank slate, but the r aison d'etre for the viz is to help you choose between players in the same side, once you've decided that, for example, you want a City defender. The viz can be found linked from the main menu , and here and should be opened separately to best read this piece. A few notes as of GW5 below. Arsenal I'm not sure how much value there is with this defense right now, but if you are planning to play the fixtures and take a chance with one of Emery's men, this would suggest it should be Mustafi rather than the 10% owner Bellerin who you should target. Bournemouth Cook is the man here for now, though if a clear winner emerges from the developing Daniels vs Rico battle then one of those players could topple him b
Read more

A brief update

-
Happy holidays everyone; it's been a while. For those not on Twitter, I was away in Costa Rica over the break without much - if any - internet access hence the lack of posts around these electronic pages. Well, actually, that's only the main reason, not the only one. In truth I've become a bit disillusioned with the fantasy game the past couple of months, partly due to my other commitments which make copying data at 2am somewhat less appealing, partly due to a lack of excitement in this year's game and finally due to the constant frustration I have with today's internet culture. This blog is a labour of love and aside from the small amount of money I made from the pre-season guide many of you graciously purchased, I don't get much out of this beyond the enjoyment of interacting with readers and hopefully helping a few of you to gain a couple of extra fantasy points every now and then. While some of that enjoyment remains, I feel it has waned over time and th
Read more