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Showing posts with the label Differentiator

Wilcard resources

As we sit in the middle of another dull international week, many managers will be tempted to play (or have already played) that wildcard chip. With that in mind, I wanted to link to a few resources that I have posted over the past few weeks that might be useful Overall player projection  - projected points for the next 12 gameweeks Player share of key stats - the percentage of their team's SiB and CC that each player has accounted for Points vs Expected Points - a quick way to highlight players who have underperformed their underlying stats to date and could see increased fortunes in the future with improved conversion rates. Performance vs prior season - see how players have performed in this season's fixtures compared to the same fixture last season Team snapshot and projection - which teams are performing best and who do you need to secure coverage for? Defender selector - which defender gives the best combination of value and attacking threat within each ...

Finding a differentiator

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One of the downsides of the premierleague.com fantasy game is the fact that every manager has the same access to every player, which can cause teams to converge as the season goes on. This can lead to the conclusion that we need ways to differentiate our teams to try and gain some advantage over the pack. I would suggest there is some danger in chasing this idea too much as ultimately you need to be chasing points, not just unique points but there is of course some value to having players who offer something a bit different. The below visualization shows the standard points vs expected points chart but with the marks colour coded based on ownership. The bluer marks are the players everyone seems to own (Lukaku, Kane, Salah etc) while the orange marks show the players flying below the radar. The first observation is that the vast majority of players are in very few teams so your search for differentiators doesn't need to go too deep. You don't need to be looking at the...